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Weekly Projected 2026 Midterm Results

State-by-State Forecast Map — December 07, 2025
2026 State-by-State Forecast Map
Top row: side-by-side — Blended vs Ratings-only. Bottom: Binary (all states Red/Blue) derived from Blended.
December 07, 2025
Safe D
Lean D
Toss-up
Lean R
Safe R
No call
Blended Sources
Expert Ratings Only
Binary Control View (All Red/Blue)
“If called today.” Toss‑ups/No‑calls fall to each state’s recent presidential baseline, with lighter shading to indicate lower confidence.
National Totals (as of December 07, 2025)
Projected control if the election were held today.
HouseR 222
D 213
SenateR 53
D 47

About These Maps

Blended: ratings + polling (house‑effect adjusted) + fundraising (FEC) + redistricting/legal + multilingual sentiment. Ratings‑only: expert tables only. Binary: every state assigned as of today; uncertain states use the state’s recent presidential baseline to prevent unrealistic colors.

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